Monday, September 17, 2018

Discovering New Outsourcing Opportunities- a long paper prepared in February 2006


Discovering New Outsourcing Opportunities

Som Karamchetty [1]

Abstract
            Despite arguments about the merits and demerits of outsourcing, both the customers and suppliers have reaped its benefits. In the case of offshore outsourcing, businesses in the developed have reduced their costs and improved their competitiveness while the developing countries have gained millions of new jobs and vastly improved economies. Outsourcing can be done at a whole industrial process level or at the component process level. Morphological analysis allows us to dissect a mega-process in a business and look for alternative ways of conducting the component process and alternative performers. The alternative performers can be in India and benefit from less than mega-process outsourcing.
            Beginning with call center operations, the offshore outsourcing phenomenon has now engulfed IT, and many other high end processes. Healthcare, medical services, assisted living, and nursing homes are likely to be the next big opportunities on the horizon. In the next couple of decades, the US will have 78 million aged people requiring these healthcare services. Indian businesses can take advantage of this emerging outsourcing wave by analyzing the component processes in the health care business and by equipping the work force with the required knowledge, skills, and experience. That is a major outsourcing opportunity for India.

Introduction
            My aim in this article is to introduce Morphological Analysis as a tool to discover outsourcing opportunities. I will do this by first describing outsourcing and by introducing the Morphological Analysis. Indian businesses have been benefiting from outsourced work from developed countries. Owing to a cost advantage of 4 to 1 or 3 to 1 in favor of India, work is offshored to India. So far most offshore outsourcing directly benefited a number of major Indian cities and the benefits did not reach towns and rural areas. Urban areas, which are already overcrowded and expensive, suffer from a lack of infrastructure.
Within India, rural areas enjoy a cost advantage of 2 to 1 or 3 to 1 in favor of rural areas in certain respects. Therefore, we should examine the feasibility of outsourcing some tasks from cities to rural areas. One might undertake morphological analyses of several urban-based businesses to look for good candidates for outsourcing within the country.
            Several parties have a stake in such analyses. Businesses want to stay competitive and make profits. They should conduct an analysis and look for outsourcing opportunities for some of their component processes. Those businesses, which are looking for work in their areas of core competence, should conduct analysis of other businesses for outsourcing opportunities as part of their marketing efforts. Lastly, governments have a strong interest in such studies, because they are interested in uniform national development.


Brief Remarks on the Outsourcing Landscape
China and India benefited immensely from the outsourcing trend in the last two decades. Initially manufacturing jobs and subsequently, service jobs moved out of the developed nations. There are mixed views in the developed countries on whether outsourcing helped their economies or not. Businesses found that their bottom lines improved when they utilized cheaper resources from the developing countries through offshore outsourcing. However, those employees who lost jobs, and the states, which were impacted economically by the loss of tax revenue have negative views of outsourcing and offshoring. Here is a small sampling of some views on outsourcing.

Diana Farrell, Noshir Kaka, and Sascha Stürze [2] quoting from a Nasscom report [3] stated, “India's offshoring sector, the world's largest and fastest growing, is dominated by IT services, which play a major role in the country's overall economic growth. In 2004–05, the Indian offshore IT and business-process-outsourcing industry will generate approximately $17.3 billion in revenues and employ an estimated 695,000 people. By 2007–08, that workforce will consist of about 1,450,000 to 1,550,000 people, and the industry will account for 7 percent of India's GDP.”
            Initially, offshore outsourcing was restricted to call centers but gradually spread to business processes. A report in Siliconindia [4] says, “Seeking to cut costs, companies from the US and other Western countries have hired about 170,000 workers in India for jobs such as payroll accounting, telemarketing and customer support services. The figure is expected to reach 1.1 million by 2008, industry groups say.”

Information and communication technologies (ICT) have helped in this outsourcing phenomenon. An educated and English language proficient workforce in India welcomed outsourcing and generally performed very creditably. Gene Sperling [5] who was the White House economic adviser to former President Bill Clinton, writes in the Washington Post, “China and India have nearly 40 percent of the world's population (compared with 3 percent for Japan and South Korea), and thanks to the revolution of information technology, hundreds of millions of their citizens have entered the global workforce, competing on an unprecedented scale for jobs located in the industrialized nations.” Sperling further states, “Outsourcing is the cause for the Chinese and Indians to enter the global workforce.”
After Information Technology and BPO, India will now become a hot destination for outsourcing legal works for American firms. [6] Success is contagious and it is now spreading to other technical and functional areas. Mark Chediak [7] writes in Washington Post of August 16, 2005, “Founded in 1999, Smarthinking employs more than 450 part-time instructors from around the world to offer round-the-clock tutoring. Washington students struggling in the middle of the night with a math question may get an answer from a tutor in India, where the morning's work is already underway.”

            Another area ripe for outsourcing is the US healthcare. Mini Joseph Tejaswi [8] writes, “Spiralling healthcare costs, unbearable squeeze on margins, acute talent shortage and an aging population are compelling healthcare establishments in the US and Europe to look at Indian IT and ITES providers.” Tejaswi further adds, “The US healthcare industry alone is expected to spend $34 billion to develop supporting technologies by 2008, against $26 billion last year …”
            Outsourcing of medical procedures is also a lucrative opportunity for India. “Medical tourism has got a shot in the arm with number of overseas patients touching 100,000 mark last year as against 10,000 patients in 2000 thanks to the bouquet of quality healthcare services fraught with cost advantage.” [9] "India offers a wide range of specialised services at less than one-fifth of the cost in developed countries which is strengthening medical tourism industry," chief executive officer of Recover Discover, Vimal Dikshit, quoted in the same news report.
            We could dwell on thousands of such instances and statements of outsourcing successes. But, perhaps, the point is made that outsourcing is here and growing strong by the day.

Outsourcing Explained
            Companies are in business to make money for their shareholders. They want to minimize their investment and increase their earnings per share, earnings per employee, and improve their other measures of corporate performance. Traditionally, companies performed all tasks in house. Modern managers like to focus on a few of their core competencies and relegate all other products and services to others who provide quality products and services at competitive prices.
            Therefore, managers’ first task is to identify their core competencies and develop these areas in house. Their next task is to identify the secondary and tertiary tasks and begin to identify reliable, economical, and competent suppliers outside the company. Such analyses can be done at various levels of granularity and a number of suppliers selected.
            Peter Bendor-Samuel [10] writes, “As we enter 2006, outsourcing stands at a new inflection point. Fundamental and seismic changes are altering the structure of our industry. Buyer unrest is causing a change in outsourcing transactions. They will morph from monolithic mega-deals into higher value deals with smaller components.” When a large number of mini-deals become available, many small vendors get opportunities to become new suppliers.
            This new emphasis on mini-deals requires a more rigorous and systematic analysis. Morphological analysis is a strong method for consideration.

Morphological Analysis
            Zwicky (1962, 1969) [11] , [12] explained the method known as morphological analysis as “total thinking.” [13] We aim at the totality of solutions to a given problem without prejudice as to the value of any solution. By enumerating all possible solutions, we can obtain a large number of alternative combinations constituting solution sets. By applying this technique to a number of areas, Zwicky obtained patents in such diverse fields as propulsion systems and explosives.
Next, I will describe a simple example to explain the application of Morphological Analysis. Most readers are aware of how a traditional clothes laundry business operates. By analyzing the various processes in the laundry business, we can look at alternate means of performing those tasks. Some of these can be kept in-house as core competencies and the others can be outsourced. For the purposes of this explanation a simple analysis (previously discussed in the author’s 1996 paper cited already) is presented here.
            Table 1 shows ten activities (rows) that constitute a simple laundry business: (1) transport clothes, (2) receive clothes, (3) ticket clothes, (4) bag clothes, (5) ship clothes, (6) receive clean clothes, (7) deliver clothes, (8) transport clothes, (9) receive payment, and (10) deposit payments in bank. Alternate ways of accomplishing or persons responsible for each of these activities are illustrated along each row in the table. In this example, there are 3 x 3 x 4 x 4 x 4 x 3 x 4 x 4 x 5 x 4 = 552,960 combinations. This large number shows the power of the method. As seen in this example, Morphological analysis consists in listing all the components that make up the process. This is shown as activities along the first row. Then we examine alternate ways of performing the component task or who might perform it and list them along the corresponding row. In the example, we enumerated 3 to 5 ways of doing each task. We could have thought of more ways, but for the sake of simplicity in illustrating the method, only a few alternatives are selected. We can pick any element along each row and form a sequence of component operations to run the business. If we lack innovative thinking, we conclude that there is only one way of doing this business. With innovative thinking, we can come up with many alternatives. We follow the enumeration phase with an evaluation phase. It is possible that some of these options might be eliminated during detailed analysis for technical, political, cultural, or economic reasons. Awareness of a large number of alternate options gives you an advantage over your competitors.
            Note that in the traditional laundry service sequence, the customer drops the clothes with a clerk, is given a receipt, and later picks up the clean clothes from the clerk, paying by cash. In another sequence, the clerk picks up the dirty clothes from the customer’s home, bags them, transports them to a washer, brings the clothes back to the customer’s home, and collects cash; this is old fashioned by today’s standards. The case, in which the customer does everything, including washing, is a trivial case where no laundry as a business exists.
            Although this is a simple example, I hope that the reader is convinced that a systematic analysis has two steps: (1) identifying the component processes that make up the chain or sequence, and (2) devising alternate ways of performing the component processes. Once the business process is broken down into component processes, we can look for which processes can be outsourced to which suppliers. It is also possible that if a component process (or activity) is outsourced to India, it might be done differently than it would have been done had the component process (or activity) been retained in the US. On the contrary, if we look at the whole business process as monolithic, we never gain the advantages of outsourcing the component processes. We may keep doing every service in house, perhaps, leading to inefficiencies and diseconomies.
            If one examines the processes (5) and (6), the dirty clothes are shipped to some place (not specified in the example) and cleaned clothes are received from there. Clothes washing function can be outsourced to any place depending on the availability of washing facilities, skills, and economics. Examining this possibility by this method is new but the process itself is not new. Many hospitals in San Francisco in California send their linen to Gilroy, which is about sixty miles outside the city in a rural area. Does such a process offer advantages to Indian cities? Cities such as Kolkata, Delhi, and Mumbai are crowded and the only place launder’s can work and live are the slums. If clothes washing is moved to rural communities (say, some fifty miles from a city), the launders may live in a decent place and make a good living as the rural costs of living are better than those in cities. Now, let us inspect the clothes transfer component process. If a launderer picks up clothes from house to house and takes them to a rural area, and after washing them, returns clean clothes to each home owner, his productivity is decreased. Are there alternative options available where a person does not accompany the goods?
            We need not go too far to find good examples. Excellent stories were written about Mumbai’s Dabbawallas [14] and management Guru’s have analyzed their methods. All Dabbawallas do not travel with their Dabbas, which contain fresh and hot meals prepared by suburban housewives for their husbands working in the offices in Mumbai. Perhaps, we can transition the Dabbawallas’ method to moving clothes to and from rural areas. Or we can outsource the process to the Dabbawallas. The idea here is not to dwell on clothes washing but to illustrate the importance of analyzing a business process in detail in order to seek alternative suppliers or discover outsourcing opportunities.

Urban to Rural Outsourcing
            Urban infrastructure problems of big Indian cities like Benguluru are well chronicled. As the wealth of the residents of a city increases, costs of real estate and general cost of living go up. People with modest incomes will not be able to afford to live in cities. Some of these people may have to move to cheaper towns and rural areas along with their jobs. Central and state governments and chambers of commerce and industry might undertake studies to decide which business processes can be outsourced. Morphological analysis comes in very handy.
            At the mega level, the laundry business can be a good candidate to move to rural areas as discussed in our earlier example. Now, we consider another case and ask if we can move parts of the food business to rural areas. One finds an example in midday meal preparation for school children being outsourced to Naandi Foundation. [15] “Naandi created the world’s largest central kitchen at Hyderabad (spread over 2 acres with built up area of 14,000 sq ft) through which the midday meal is being supplied to 880 schools in the twin cities, benefiting 1,30,000 children. The central kitchen was set-up with the latest equipment, specialised team and high-quality transport facility for distribution of the cooked meal.” Would it have been possible to locate the centralized kitchen in a nearby village and transport Dabbas of hot meals to city schools?
Many businesses in Indian cities serve hot lunches to their workers. Would outsourcing such meal preparation to village based businesses be feasible and economically viable? If not, can we do an analysis of the component processes and evaluate if some component processes can be outsourced. For example, it may turn out that peeling and cutting vegetables can be carried out economically in villages near the farms where vegetables are harvested. Transporting smaller quantities of prepared vegetables is easier and cheaper than transporting large quantities of vegetables.
Think for a moment how vegetables are marketed in Indian cities even today. Farmers in villages harvest their vegetables and carry them to cities and hawk them from street to street. This is a very inefficient method of using a farmer’s time and energy. There should be no need for a farmer to go with his vegetables and return home with cash proceeds of the day. Vegetables or processed vegetables could be transported to the city and delivered to individual homes following the Dabbawala model.

Future Opportunities for Outsourcing
The 2005 US White House Conference on Aging [16] discussed the implications of the next wave of America’s aging population, the “Baby Boomers,” comprised of about 76 million people born between 1946 and 1964. Then there are the “Mature Seniors” (ages 60-79) and the “Oldest Old” (aged 80 and above). In the next four decades, such a large aged population will require technology and healthcare services, some of which may be outsourced to offshore locations. This will be an excellent opportunity for India to provide medical, health, aged living, assisted living, and nursing home services.
As one examines the outsourcing trends, from call centers and business process outsourcing (BPO), the market moved to Information Technologies. This market is now moving to research and development and product and process innovation. As described in earlier sections, the big opportunities are in the health care and aged homes fields. If we merely use these phrases, they are the mega-deals and the small entrepreneur will wait for the big companies to grab the opportunities. In a proactive stance, small entrepreneurs can perform a Morphological analysis of the healthcare and aged homes sectors and prepare to bid on the component processes, where he/she is competent. Such an analysis will indicate to governments what education and training schemes will prepare the future Indian work force to stand up to the challenges of the emerging outsourcing scenario. Young people need not rest their hopes on IT alone but gain knowledge and skills in the component processes within the healthcare and aged homes businesses of the near future.
The pot of gold at the end of the rainbow is within the reach of the prepared.

Table1. Array of activities in an illustrative laundry business


ACTIVITY
ALTERNATIVES
1
Transport Clothes
Customer
Laundry
Mail


2
Receive Clothes
Clerk
Machine
Washer


3
Ticket
Clerk
Machine
Card
None

4
Bag Clothes
Clerk
Machine
Customer
None

5
Ship Clothes
Clerk
Customer
Mail
None

6
Receive Clean Clothes
Clerk
Mail
Customer


7
Deliver Clothes
Clerk
Machine
Mail
None

8
Transport Clean Clothes
Clerk
Mail
Customer
None

9
Receive Payment
Clerk
Machine
Bank
Card
Mail
10
Deposit in Bank
Clerk
Card
Mail
None






[1] The Author lives in Columbia, Maryland, USA and can be reached via email at somk@comcast.net

[3] Source: Strategic Review 2005, National Association of Software and Service Companies (Nasscom).

[4] Source: Silionindia Marh 18, 2004, India continues to beckon US financial Companieshttp://www.siliconindia.com/shownewsdata.asp?newsno=23461&newscat=Business
[5]  Source: Gene Sperling,How to Refloat These Boats” The Washington Post, Sunday, December 18, 2005

[6] Source: “After BPO, legal works moving to India,http://www.siliconindia.com/shownewsdata.asp?newsno=26630

[7] Source: Mark Chediak,Online Tutoring Part of Growing Trend,” Washington Post, August 16, 2005
[8] Source: Mini Joseph Tejaswi, “Indian IT to take care of US healthcare” The Economic Times, http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/1161656.cms

[10] Source: Peter Bendor-Samuel, CEO, Everest Group, Why Outsourcing Is Poised for a Sea Changehttp://www.outsourcing-analyst.com/2006-everest.html

[11] Zwicky, F., (1962), Morphology of Propulsive Power, Society for Morphological Research, Pasadena, CA.

[12] Zwicky, F., (1969), Discovery, Invention, Research: Through the Morphological Approach, Macmillan, Toronto.
[13] Source: Som D. Karamchetty, “The Application of Morphological Analysis to Discovering New Forms of Business,” Entrepreneurship, Innovation, and Change, Vol. 5, No. 3, 1996, Pages 203 to 216.

[14] A typical source: Mumbai’s Dabbawallas – a complete management workshop, http://www.pagalguy.com/index.php?categoryid=15&p2_articleid=252


No comments:

Post a Comment